美股電動車Lucid股票(LCID)與特斯拉(TSLA)的簡單分析

目前市值的定價是Lucid每年銷售約2.6萬輛汽車。這與目前1.3萬輛的總預訂量相比較。

美股電動車Lucid股票(LCID)與特斯拉(TSLA)的簡單分析
Photo by Tesla Fans Schweiz / Unsplash

根據Lucid公司2021年第三季度的收益報告,它有一款續航能力超強的電動車,還獲得了著名的Motortrend年度汽車的稱號。

從投資者的角度來看,這實際上意味著什麼呢?


利用特斯拉2021年第四季度的股東名單,我們計算出以下數字。

根據他們各自的市值,並假設Lucid 1)以類似的倍數交易,2)有類似於特斯拉的運營利潤,那麼目前的市場定價是Lucid每年銷售約26000輛汽車,每輛10萬美元。這與目前1.3萬輛的總預訂量相比較。

那麼問題來了,雖然Lucid公司可能有一輛卓越的汽車,但它是否會轉化為更好的營業利潤率,也會轉化為更高的倍數?

另一個問題是,Lucid需要多長時間才能實現盈利?根據下面的圖表,特斯拉花了10多年時間。

同時,Lucid擁有約48億美元的現金,每年的現金消耗量超過10億美元,這意味著在任何再融資之前約有4年的餘地。

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